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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Growing failures of social care in educating young people

version: 5 / updated: 2011-01-08
id: #1369 / version id: #415
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ian Miles
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Rafael Popper
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished archived

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 8 - Socio-economic Sciences and the Humanities

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Societal trends and lifestyles

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
YIPPEE (217297)

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Growing failures of social care in educating young people

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
There is new evidence on the lack of educational adaptation and achievement among young people from social care backgrounds. There is a perceived crisis of social care: there are signs that some young people can successfully sue care institutions for failure to prepare them for adult life, leading to breakdown of these institutions and desperate search for new approaches at a time of public financial pressures (super-foster parents? Use of private boarding schools?).

Keywords

social care, youth, people, education, learning, working

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
new evidence on failure of social care in educating young people

Signal's first apperance

2005-now

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 breakdown of welfare state new/emerging
 		mainly beneficial
 		now-2015

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

this is a signal of the contradictions & failures of the EU social democratic welfare model, and its possible transition to a different model

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 1: important for a particular country UK
Level 3: important for the European Union

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
affective filters (emotions, anxiety, self-doubt)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Comments on selection:

the issue which is signalled shows deep contradictions in the socio-political system

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Social internal contradictions of welfare system
Political pressure for diversification & innovation

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
between 2015-2025 risk that welfare system will collapse new policy innovation & financial diversification

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(now-2015) 		longer-term
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) explore long term futures for social care & welfare system
Non-for-profit organisations (e.g. NGOs, political parties, social movements, voluntary associations) identify costs & benefits of alternatives to state care system

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Ageing and other demographic tensions
Social exclusion & poverty
Social cohesion and diversity

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Social Sciences and Humanities

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.

Signal's relevance for future R&D and STI policies

Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
future STI will need to look at complex pathways and regime / institutional effects both for individuals and for nations.