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Mapping Weak Signals
Inspired by:
scientists/researchers
» Growth of atheism in Europe and developed nations
version
:
2
/ updated:
2010-12-09
id: #1230 / version id: #1229
mode:
VIEW
Originally submitted by:
Rafael Popper
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Last changed by:
Rafael Popper
WI-WE status:
submitted
unpublished
Source of inspiration
Scientists/researchers
(incl. reports, plans and statements)
The source of the Weak Signal is
The Cambridge Companion to Atheism (by Michael Martin)
Signal's headline
(max. 9 words)
Growth of atheism in Europe and developed nations
Signal's description
(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Recent studies indicate that there is a growing number of countries with "organic atheism" (i.e. wherein non-belief has emerged on its own without governmental coercion). Nordic countries show the highest levels of atheism and thirteen of the Top 20 atheist nations are European. Most of the other countries are developed. Other countries with high rates include: Czech republic, France, Germany, Hungary, Netherlands, UK, Belgium, Bulgaria, Slovenia and Israel.
Keywords
atheism, religion, God, Nordic, nonbeliever
Mini-description
(max. 250 characters)
Recent studies indicate that there is a growing number of countries with "organic atheism" (i.e. wherein non-belief has emerged on its own without governmental coercion) and thirteen of the Top 20 atheist nations are European.
Signal's first apperance
2000-2005
Signal's potential evolution
It could lead to...
issue
type of issue/development
potential impact on society
timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1
Believe in God becomes an indicator of under development
new/emerging
neutral
now-2050
#2
Radical move in Europe to fund research on the meaning of life
new/emerging
mainly beneficial
now-2025
Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.
Recognition of the Weak Signal leads to several European Commission calls for multidisciplinary research on the meaning of life.
Importance
please specify
please select
Level 2: important for a particular
world region
Nordic countries
Level 3: important for the
European Union
Level 4: important for the
whole world
Developed countries
Filters preventing the signal's monitoring
cultural/religious
filters (values, traditions, faith, spiritual beliefs)
institutional
filters (rules, laws, regulations)
Comments on selection:
Institutions like the Vatican and other important religious centres will try to stop media and governments attention to this signal.
Key driving forces of this signal
Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1
Driver 2
Social
Excellent public health care
Widely accesible housing
Economic
Plentiful of food distribution
Values/Ethical/Cultural
Religiosity wanes
Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal
Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks
Opportunities
before 2015
Loss of important values traditionally attached to major religions (e.g. to honour/respect parents)
between 2015-2025
New understanding of human existence
Potential stakeholders' actions
short-term actions
(now-2015)
longer-term
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels)
Promote research on pros and cos of the growth in atheism
Academic/Research sector
Undertake research on the implications of a post-religious society
Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges
where?
please justify:
particularly relevant
Europe
world
Behavioural change
Social cohesion and diversity
Signal's relevance for thematic research areas
please justify:
particularly relevant
Social Sciences and Humanities
Pan-European strategies influencing the signal
please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Research-friendly strategies
potentially improving understanding of the signal
For further information about 'research-friendly strategies'
click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Addressing cohesion through a localised articulation between supply and demand
(e.g. making research institutions more engaged with their own context and local users; reinforcing knowledge flows into and out of regions; etc.
Signal's relevance for future R&D and STI policies
Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
Growth in atheism deserves careful attention because it could lead to a growth in the role of Humanities research areas in the next European Framework Programme for Research and Technology Development (FP8).
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