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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Product piracy and product imitation cases are increasing

version: 1 / created: 2010-08-09
id: #947 / version id: #947
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Vanessa Watkins
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Last changed by: Vanessa Watkins
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 8 - Socio-economic Sciences and the Humanities

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Blue Sky Research on emerging issues and other research economies

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
Source: INFU (225229) - http://www.innovation-futures.org/ http://www.rbb-online.de/was/archiv/was__vom_07_09_2009/produktpiraten.html http://www.markenpiraterie-apm.de/files/standard/China%20Studie.pdf

Uploaded reports, images or pictures related to the Weak Signal

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Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Product piracy and product imitation cases are increasing

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
The growing number of cases of product piracy and product imitation reveal an increased threat to business interests and the customers´ security due to deficient products and the utilization of materials with negative health effects. In particular, technological and innovative industries are highly affected by product imitations.

Keywords

innovation, product piracy, product imitations, security

Signal's first apperance

before 2000

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Change in current innovation patterns re-emerging
 		harmful
 		now-2015

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

This weak signal hints to a return to even stricter models of closed innovation processes. The increasing anxiety towards product piracy could induce companies to decrease their willingness to integrate external sources into different stages of new product development. Since not only companies but also nations are competing over the lead in innovation, a wild card could be, that protectionism increases strongly, leading to state-controlled innovation and strict laws on corporate information politics.

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 2: important for a particular world region highly developed and emerging regions

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Social Some people are reluctant to spending money on high-priced goods, especially regarding innovative electronic products, due to low income or avarice. These drivers might foster the ongoing lucrativeness of developing and producing imitations.
Technological/Scientific A recent study proves that products, which are being manufactured by SMEs are more likely to be affected by product piracy than the ones produced by large-scale enterprises. This is referring to the low number of applied patents of small enterprises (because of cost concerns and information deficits) in countries where a high amount of imitations appear. Thus, the number of cases of product piracy might increase due to neglected applications.
Economic An important driver of the increasing product piracy might be the lack of effective prosecutions in the countries where the imitations mainly are produced, in particular China or other Asian countries.

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
before 2015 A recent study proves that products, which are being manufactured by SMEs are more likely to be affected by product piracy than the ones produced by large-scale enterprises.

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(now-2015) 		longer-term
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) establish effective prosecutions against product piracy

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Globalization vs. localization
Innovation dynamics

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
International S&T Cooperation
Research for the benefit of small & medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Fostering and facilitating coherent international cooperation in science and technology