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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Biofuels for energy production

version: 2 / updated: 2011-01-27
id: #1508 / version id: #983
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Anthony Walker
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Maurizio Sajeva
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 4 - Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials & new production technologies

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Mastering nano-scale complexity in materials

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
SURFUNCELL

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Biofuels for energy production

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Biodiesel from algae becomes major renewable energy source

Keywords

biofuel, biodiesel, algae, renewable energy, algae diesel

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

Biodiesel from algae becomes major renewable energy source

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2050

Features of life if the wild card manifests

Feature 5: politics and global affairs
Thwere would be massive political upheaval as countries and large companies which relied on fossil fuels for revenue would see much reduced demand for their product
Feature 6: health and quality of life
This would have a massive positive effect on the environment - the amount of fossil fuel being used would be dramatically reduced. This would have a benefit on the health and well being of the population of the whole planet

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A new development/situation
(e.g. a Romani state is established in central Europe; A message from an alien civilisation existing on a distant planet is received and understood, etc.

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Desirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
cultural/religious filters (values, traditions, faith, spiritual beliefs)
economic filters (business/market interests)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Technological/Scientific breakthrough
Political shift fro carbon to post-carbon society

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Behavioural change
Energy security/dynamics
Sustainability and climate change

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Health
Energy
Transport (including aeronautics)

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Addressing cohesion through a localised articulation between supply and demand
(e.g. making research institutions more engaged with their own context and local users; reinforcing knowledge flows into and out of regions; etc.
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.