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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » So long and thanks for all the fish

version: 1 / created: 2009-11-20
id: #264 / version id: #264
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Joe Ravetz
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Joe Ravetz
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 6 - Environment (including Climate Change)

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Pressures on environment and climate

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
EPOCA (211384) http://cordis.europa.eu/fetch?CALLER=FP7_PROJ_EN&ACTION=D&DOC=1&CAT=PROJ&QUERY=012511528048:8e48:04812f0e&RCN=87798

Headline

(max. 9 words)

So long and thanks for all the fish

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Ocean acidification accelerates more than predicted, and major fish stocks are in rapid decline. International fishing industries are well organized and launch a legal class action against the 20 largest climate emitting transnational corporations (TNCs). Share values for these and related firms are in turmoil.

Keywords

ocean, acidification, fish, fishing, climate, transnationals, lawsuit

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2025

Type of event

Unplanned consequence of events/trends/situations (e.g. financial crisis, accidental breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
An extreme extension of a trend/development/situation
(e.g. Increased global warming leads to a total ban on fossil fuels)

Type of systems affected

Both

Classification

Mixed

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 3: important for the European Union
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

economic filters (business/market interests)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)