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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Cars Banned from City Centres

version: 6 / updated: 2011-01-27
id: #1532 / version id: #478
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Cornelia Daheim
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Sivert von Saldern
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 7 - Transport (including aeronautics)

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

SST: The greening of surface transport

Uploaded reports, images or pictures related to the Weak Signal

File name File type File size
Individual_Mobility.jpg image 210529 open

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Cars Banned from City Centres

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Environmental reasons and increasing chaos from a rising number of cars has led to European cities increasingly banning individual transport. Many European cities have already created designated zones for pedestrians and additionally introduced city tolls to enforce a reduction of inner city transport. A few small cities and islands are entirely car-free.

Keywords

urban areas, individual mobility, European cities, public transport, car-free

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
Environmental reasons and increasing chaos from a rising number of cars has led to European cities increasingly banning individual transport. Eventually, in-dividual motorised transport could be replaced by a comprehensive public sys-tem altogether.

Signal's first apperance

before 2000

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Individual motorised transport could be replaced by a comprehensive public system in all EU city centres. continuation
 		mainly beneficial
 		now-2025
#2 City centres might become less importance as residential districts, as private cars have to be parked in specific areas at the inner city belt. new/emerging
 		mainly beneficial
 		now-2025
#3 Air quality might extremely improve due to less car exhaust pollution. Besides, noise pollution and traffic accidents decrease. re-emerging
 		very beneficial
 		now-2025
#4 Completely new mobility services and creation of alternative space concepts emerge. new/emerging
 		very beneficial
 		now-2025

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

more measures to mitigate climate change; higher awareness in the population for climate change

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 3: important for the European Union

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
economic filters (business/market interests)
political filters (party or ideological interests)

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Environmental to mitigate the CO2 emmissions in city centres

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
before 2015 less convenience & flexibility for passengers if alternative means of transportation are more cost- and time-intense improvement of air quality in city centres
between 2015-2025 new approach to organise public transport in urban areas

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(now-2015) 		longer-term
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) foster regulation to bann cars from city centres and provide a convienient public transport
Business actors (incl. SMEs) support cities in implementing holistic concepts for public transpoartation

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Energy security/dynamics lower demand for gas and thus oil for transportation means
Urban and rural dynamics new mobility concepts in urban areas
Sustainability and climate change mitigation of greenhouse gas emmissions

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Energy
Environment (including Climate Change)
Transport (including aeronautics)

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Strengthening the actors in the research-friendly ecology
(i.e. Research funding organisations, universities, businesses, Research and Technology Organisations, Researchers and Citizens)
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.

Signal's relevance for future R&D and STI policies

Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
R&D has to focus on alternative mobility concepts that enable people to move quickly and conventionally in city centres.