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Progress: 95.00%   WWI-WE Version: 3
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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Identification of rogue genes

version: 3 / updated: 2010-11-11
id: #1116 / version id: #1035
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Anthony Walker
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Anthony Walker
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 4 - Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials & new production technologies

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Novel biomaterials and bioinspired materials

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
ANGIOSCAFF

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Identification of rogue genes

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
People could live longer as rogue genes enhance life expectancy. As this reaches 100, health insurance rapidly increases, and there are problems with over population, until birth rates are monitored by governments.

Keywords

Rogue genes, genetics, health, population, birth rates

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
People could live longer as rogue genes enhance life expectancy. As this reaches 100, health insurance rapidly increases, and there are problems with over population, until birth rates are monitored by governments.

Signal's first apperance

2005-now

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Could lead to overpopulation increased overpopulation continuation
 		harmful
 		now-2050+
#2 People will have to work longer and save more to sustain themselves through an extended retirement continuation
 		mainly harmful
 		now-2050

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

Researchers would be lookin for ways to enable people to live longer -

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world This could potentailly affect the whole world

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)

Comments on selection:

Media and researchers may only report on the positives of living much longer rather than the other factors

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Social People want to live for longer

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
beyond 2050 People will be able to live for much longer Quality of life may suffer dramatically due to the lack of resources

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(now-2015) 		longer-term
(after 2015)
Media Report the research responsibly - informing the public about all of the benefits and consequences involved

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Social cohesion and diversity may result in the elderly having much reduced quality of life due to insufficient resources to provide adequate care

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Social Sciences and Humanities Quality of life for the elderly / retired may suffer due to lack of resources

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example. developing new processes / technologies to help care for the much expanded elderly population

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal 		Ensuring there are sufficient resources to care for the elderly population