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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: workshops/meetings » Increasing dependence of EU on import of fossil fuels

version: 1 / created: 2010-06-24
id: #835 / version id: #835
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ondrej Valenta
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Last changed by: Ondrej Valenta
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

Workshops/Meetings

iKnow workshop country name

Czech Republic

Workshop date

March 2010

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Increasing dependence of EU on import of fossil fuels

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
One of the goals of the European energetic strategy is to secure a availability and stability of energy supply, especially that of electrical. However, increasing dependence of EU on import of fossil fuels makes this goal hardly achievable. Sudden political instability and potential conflicts in the export countries could result in breakdown of the fossil fuels supply system and therefore threaten the proper functioning of European economies. This challenge is also an opportunity for development of European nuclear energetics. Research and development in this sector would also spill over to other industrial sectors.

Keywords

dependence, fossil fuels, EU, import, energy.

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
With no alternative sources of energy (incl. nuclear energy), the European Union will be more and more dependent on import of fossil fuels

Signal's first apperance

2005-now

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 3: important for the European Union

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
economic filters (business/market interests)
affective filters (emotions, anxiety, self-doubt)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
political filters (party or ideological interests)

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Political Low public funding to R&D in energy sector

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
between 2015-2025 Growing dependence of EU on import of fossil fuels
between 2025-2050 ongoing damage of natural environment

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Behavioural change
Coexistence and conflicts
Governance and trust in democracy
Social pathologies & ethics
Social exclusion & poverty
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk
Sustainability and climate change

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Energy
Transport (including aeronautics)
Security
Nuclear research

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures
Strengthening research institutions and universities
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.
Fostering and facilitating coherent international cooperation in science and technology

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Strengthening the actors in the research-friendly ecology
(i.e. Research funding organisations, universities, businesses, Research and Technology Organisations, Researchers and Citizens)
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.