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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Lack of stability increases in all major oil/gas energy producing countries

version: 4 / updated: 2011-10-23
id: #1823 / version id: #589
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Tuomo Kuosa
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Rafael Popper
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 5 - Energy

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Knowledge for energy policy-making

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Lack of stability increases in all major oil/gas energy producing countries

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Lack of stability and predictability merely increases in all major oil/gas energy producing countries such as Saudi-Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Nigeria and Libya.

Keywords

energy, predictability, oil, gas,

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
Lack of stability and predictability merely increases in all major oil/gas energy producing countries such as Saudi-Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Nigeria and Libya.

Signal's first apperance

2005-now

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 stability in danger new/emerging
 		harmful
 		now-2025

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 2: important for a particular world region

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
economic filters (business/market interests)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Economic chan ging of energy sources

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Sustainability and climate change

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Energy
Social Sciences and Humanities
Regional development
Science in society

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Improving researchers mobility and career development by, for example, realising a single labour market for researchers.
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.
Fostering and facilitating coherent international cooperation in science and technology

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.