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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: interviews » Misunderstanding of foresight studies.

version: 5 / updated: 2011-10-25
id: #1833 / version id: #1833
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ivan Montenegro Perini
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Ivan Montenegro Perini
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

Interviews

The source of the Weak Signal is

Karl Heinz LEITNER, "Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT)", interviewd by "MIOIR".

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Misunderstanding of foresight studies.

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Policy makers at the European level will read some of these wild cards, but probably for many of them there will be no response, action or preparation for some of these futures, because they think that is too far away, or not realistic whatsoever. We need to understand better why this is, and why society and policy makers and decision makers ignore the findings of futurists. You could of course spend another three years developing and detecting new wild cards and weak signals, but I think we should spend as many resources and efforts trying to understand how much this information is used by the stakeholders. You can produce very nice reports, policy newsletters and policy briefs, but what is the role of this documentation? We should think about whether producing such briefs is the right media or form of media communication, or whether producing a movie or an event or a workshop may have a higher impact. We should reflect on this and think how to communicate our results.

Keywords

developing, communication, information, policy-making, society.

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
Misunderstanding of foresight studies. We should reflect on this and think how to communicate our results.

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 continuation
 		beneficial
#2 continuation
 		harmful

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 3: important for the European Union
Level 4: important for the whole world

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

economic filters (business/market interests)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Innovation dynamics

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
ICT - Information & communication technologies
Social Sciences and Humanities