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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: workshops/meetings » No strict global rules on nuclear security

version: 1 / created: 2010-06-24
id: #833 / version id: #833
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ondrej Valenta
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Last changed by: Ondrej Valenta
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Source of inspiration


iKnow workshop country name

Czech Republic

Workshop date

March 2010

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
No strict global rules on nuclear security

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Nowadays, no strict global rules on nuclear security are being defined and implemented. With a anticipated spread of production of nuclear energy also to third world countries, the threat of a consequent nuclear disaster is higher as these countries' nuclear security standards may be lower and not fully implemented.


nuclear security, nuclear energy, third world countries, regulations, threat


(max. 250 characters)
Nowadays, no strict global rules on nuclear security are being defined and implemented. This might cause a nuclear accident or disaster especially in the third world countries.

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 higher threat of a nuclear accident or disaster in third world countries discontinuation
very harmful

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

Global spread of production of energy from nuclear sources.


please specify
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
cultural/religious filters (values, traditions, faith, spiritual beliefs)
institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
economic filters (business/market interests)

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Economic higher energy demands in developing countries

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) Adopt international nuclear security standards and assure their implementation

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Innovation dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Environment (including Climate Change)
Nuclear research
Research infrastructures

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.