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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: workshops/meetings » Nuclear power plants built in third world countries

version: 2 / updated: 2011-01-23
id: #1476 / version id: #825
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ondrej Valenta
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Martin Fatun
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

Workshops/Meetings

iKnow workshop country name

Czech Republic

Workshop date

March 2010

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Nuclear power plants built in third world countries

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Nuclear power becomes world-spread and nuclear power plants are being built in third world countries - with limited security infrastructure, or inappropriately qualified personnel. The risk of a nuclear disaster would become higher.

Keywords

security, nuclear power plant, developing countries, qualified labour, disaster

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
Nuclear power becomes world-spread and nuclear power plants are being built in third world countries

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Higher threat of a nuclear disaster caused by an accident in a nuclear power plant discontinuation
 		very harmful
 		now-2050

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

Rapid spread of construction of nuclear power plants in third-world countries Still no global strict security standards and their implementation exist

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
economic filters (business/market interests)

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Coexistence and conflicts
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk
Sustainability and climate change

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Food, Agriculture and Fisheries, and Biotechnology
Energy
Environment (including Climate Change)
Security
Nuclear research

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures
Fostering and facilitating coherent international cooperation in science and technology

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Strengthening the actors in the research-friendly ecology
(i.e. Research funding organisations, universities, businesses, Research and Technology Organisations, Researchers and Citizens)
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.