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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: other » Obama´s goal: One Million e-cars on the US streets by 2015

version: 1 / created: 2011-02-01
id: #1546 / version id: #1546
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Jari Kaivo-oja
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Jari Kaivo-oja
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

Other, please specify:   MIT Technology Review

The source of the Weak Signal is

MIT Technology Review

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Obama´s goal: One Million e-cars on the US streets by 2015

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
In his State of the Union speech, Obama set a goal of putting one million "electric cars" on the road by 2015.

Keywords

e-cars, U.S., Obama, budget, vehicles

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)
Electric cars have just started to be introduced in the U.S., and they cost thousands more than hybrids like the Prius. Plug-in hybrids can be cheaper, and they don't have the range limitations that could limit the market sales.

Signal's first apperance

2005-now

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Change in automobile industry new/emerging
 		mainly beneficial
 		now-2015

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

Current US policy supports this issue of e-vehicles and e-cars.

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 1: important for a particular country USA
Level 2: important for a particular world region USA
Level 3: important for the European Union Important for European car industry
Level 4: important for the whole world Sustainability challenges

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
economic filters (business/market interests)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Comments on selection:

e-cars is big issue for automobile industries in the world. Probably US and China will be leading countries in this field.

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Technological/Scientific New automobile industry and technologies
Environmental Alternative energy sources
Political Obama´s green policy

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
before 2015 Economic risks, investment risks Cutting edge to lead market strategy
between 2015-2025 BAU Lead market strategy
between 2025-2050 BAU Lead market strategy
beyond 2050 BAU Lead market strategy

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(now-2015) 		longer-term
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) Follow and analyse Build own strategies
Business actors (incl. SMEs) Follow and analyse, build own strategies Build own strategies
Academic/Research sector Follow and analyse Build own strategies
Non-for-profit organisations (e.g. NGOs, political parties, social movements, voluntary associations) Follow and analyse Build own strategies
Media Follow and analyse
General public Follow and analyse Build own strategies

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Energy security/dynamics Energy supply for automobiles
Innovation dynamics New innovation accecelerated
Sustainability and climate change A promising change to better

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Energy Change in energy policy
Environment (including Climate Change) Change in environmental policy
Transport (including aeronautics) Change in transportation policy

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer European e-car industry

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc. 		European policy response

Signal's relevance for future R&D and STI policies

Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
Relevant for European industrial policy