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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Rapid Innovation Testing

version: 1 / created: 2010-08-09
id: #944 / version id: #944
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Vanessa Watkins
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Vanessa Watkins
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 8 - Socio-economic Sciences and the Humanities

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Blue Sky Research on emerging issues and other research economies

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
Source: INFU (225229) - http://www.innovation-futures.org/ http://endlessinnovation.typepad.com/endless_innovation/2009/09/rapid-innovation-means-rapid-evolution.html

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Rapid Innovation Testing

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
New technologies and the possibilities of digitalisation make innovation processes cheaper and more efficient, as they enable easy testing and evaluation – offline and online. Enterprises increasingly use digital and conventional systems to test an ever-growing number of their ideas and thereby increase the probability of finding good solutions and decrease the probability of disinvestments. Availability of easy and cheap testing also leads to lower barriers for innovations in companies and a change in corporate innovation culture and current research and development processes

Keywords

innovation, testing procedures, ideas, research and development

Signal's first apperance

2005-now

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Change in current innovation patterns new/emerging
 		neutral

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

As innovation / ideas testing becomes more efficient and cheaper, innovation initiatives that used to take months and cost a lot of money to coordinate and launch can be realized much quicker and easier.

Importance

please specify
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Technological/Scientific Testing and experiments will become far more pervasive and persuasive as information technology improves while testing grows faster and cheaper. More processes are digitalized, which makes tracing easier.
Economic Companies are increasingly forced by their shareholders to reduce costs (for innovation processes) and lower the risk of disinvestments, which often bears the risk of less innovation willingness. An answer could be new ways to test ideas at an early stage.

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
before 2015 As the benefits of rapid testing spreads to more and more companies, corporate innovation cultures might change. People feel more motivated to contribute their ideas, new concepts would be tested more often and faster, which would increase innovativeness in general and make it easier to challenge accepted wisdom. It can be assumed that decisions about innovations will be made on a deeper and broader basis of decision knowledge. Many real-world experiments displace few innovation proposals, often handed in from external consultancies. Cheap testing allows constant, continuous, ubiquitous experimentation, which is often the source of innovations, as each experiment - successful or not – leads to new insights.

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Innovation dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Research for the benefit of small & medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)

Pan-European strategies influencing the signal

please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.