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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: other » Suicide bombing in Stockholm

version: 6 / updated: 2010-12-20
id: #1271 / version id: #1261
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Yair Sharan
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Last changed by: Yair Sharan
WI-WE status:

Source of inspiration

Other, please specify:   news paper

The source of the Weak Signal is

Wall Street Journal

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Suicide bombing in Stockholm

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
A suicide bomber of UK citizenship caused two explosions in Stockholm streets on Saturday the 11th of December 2010 . neer Christmas shoppers. The bomber was killed in the attack. The bomber named Abdulwahab used to study in British Universities and was exposed to exteremists lectures and propagnda.


security, extremism, terrorism, explosives, suicide bombing


(max. 250 characters)
The event is the latest in a series of events in which UK citizens were involved in terroristic attacks. It is now named " the new UKs Christmas export". It could signal a wild caRD " a MASS CASUALTY terror event in Europe.

Signal's first apperance


Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 Mass casualty event in Europe re-emerging
very harmful

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

Its not the first event in which a UK cirizen in involved in a terroristic attack and we wittnesed terror bombing events in the past in EU(London,Madrid) and in neiboring countries(Israel)


please specify
please select
Level 3: important for the European Union EU countries are exposed to terroristic attack even in countries which havent experienced it in the past
Level 4: important for the whole world Such event can prolifirate to other continents

Filters preventing the signal's monitoring

cultural/religious filters (values, traditions, faith, spiritual beliefs)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Comments on selection:

Political actors might like to reduce the significance of such events in order not to be in the radar of the general society and prevent public response

Key driving forces of this signal

Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1 Driver 2
Social equality of rights extremism

Major risks & opportunities associated to the signal

Please choose the most appropriate timeframe option(s) to which you would like to provide inputs.
Risks Opportunities
before 2015 terrorism
between 2015-2025 super terrorism(mass casualties)

Potential stakeholders' actions

short-term actions
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) prevent extremissts from lecturing in Universities develop early warning systems
Academic/Research sector Prevent recruition of students to extremist groups develop education programs
Media reduce publication and exposure of extremists

Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Coexistence and conflicts A result of religous tention(e.g. Islam against the developped world)
Crime and terrorism
Globalization vs. localization might influence the development of the EU

Signal's relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Health medical terrorism
Social Sciences and Humanities disaster management, extremism
Security counter terrorism future of terrorism

Research-friendly strategies potentially improving understanding of the signal

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.
security research might help policy makers deal with the signal

Signal's relevance for future R&D and STI policies

Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
relevant to research topics like crowd behaviour, crisis management, extremism and terrorism