quick scan
scan for   wiwe wi we advanced
WI-WE Progress
Progress: 78.40%   WWI-WE Version: 1
0 mandatory questions pending
26 questions total
20 questions answered
20 questions completed
6 questions pending
Popular WI-WE Tags
Analysis Back

Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Abuse of individual DNA

version: 1 / created: 2010-07-14
id: #906 / version id: #906
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Aharon Hauptman
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Aharon Hauptman
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 10 - Security

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Security and society

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
FESTOS (217993)

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Abuse of individual DNA

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Criminals sell fake DNA on internet. Politicians (or other famous/rich persons) are blackmailed by abusing their (fake) DNA "fingerprints". For example, police finds prime minister's DNA at many scenes of crime, or paternity lawsuits are issued against billionnaires. In another scenario, insurance company is buying clients DNA (to calculate premiums). Weapons race starts between DNA fakers and forensics.

Keywords

crime, security, DNA, forensics, blackmail

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

DNA of people is abused by criminals or insurance companies.

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2025

Features of life if the wild card manifests

Feature 1: business models and industrial environment
Impact on insurance companies
Feature 4: technology and infrastructure
"Arms race" between criminals and forensics. R&D to distinguish original from faked DNA
Feature 5: politics and global affairs
Establishment of national DNA databases (allegedly to guarantee the integrity of one‘s DNA)
Feature 7: security and defence
Establishment of national DNA database (allegedly to guarantee the integrity of one‘s DNA). "Arms race" between criminals and forensics.

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A new development/situation
(e.g. a Romani state is established in central Europe; A message from an alien civilisation existing on a distant planet is received and understood, etc.
An extreme extension of a trend/development/situation
(e.g. Increased global warming leads to a total ban on fossil fuels)

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Undesirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 1: important for a particular country
Level 3: important for the European Union

Early indicators

(including weak signals)

Advances in DNA production

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
affective filters (emotions, anxiety, self-doubt)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably enclosed way (e.g. geographically, sectorally)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Collapse of a system
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Crime and terrorism
Ethics and abuse of S&T
Social pathologies & ethics
Social cohesion and diversity
Techno-security, hazard & risk

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Social Sciences and Humanities
Security
Science in society

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Strengthening research institutions and universities
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.
Fostering and facilitating coherent international cooperation in science and technology

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.