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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Artificial Food Production

version: 3 / updated: 2011-01-27
id: #1511 / version id: #862
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Anthony Walker
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Maurizio Sajeva
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 4 - Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials & new production technologies

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Nanotechnologies and converging technologies

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
NANOSCALE

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Artificial Food Production

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Artificial food production causes the death of the farming industry

Keywords

Food, Food Production, Artificial, farming, farming methods, nano

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

Artificial food production causes the death of the farming industry

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2025

Features of life if the wild card manifests

Feature 1: business models and industrial environment
Farming industry killed off, affecting local food based businesses - butchers, bakers etc. Only large corporations can maintain food sales
Feature 3: consumers, markets and lifestyles
Food prices may decrease due to large scale production of Artificial Food
Feature 5: politics and global affairs
No need to import food as all food needs could be catered for - self sufficient
Feature 6: health and quality of life
Artificial food may impact negatively on health in the long run.

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A new development/situation
(e.g. a Romani state is established in central Europe; A message from an alien civilisation existing on a distant planet is received and understood, etc.

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Uncertain

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 1: important for a particular country
Level 2: important for a particular world region
Level 3: important for the European Union
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

economic filters (business/market interests)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

Very uncertain

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)

Potential impacts (risks & opportunities)

Timeframe options
Risks Opportunities
long term
(more than 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		new diseases for lower immunity

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Food security and diet
Social pathologies & ethics

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Health
Food, Agriculture and Fisheries, and Biotechnology
Regional development
Science in society

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Strengthening the actors in the research-friendly ecology
(i.e. Research funding organisations, universities, businesses, Research and Technology Organisations, Researchers and Citizens)
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.