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Inspired by: FP7 » Break through in natural systems prediction methods

version: 1 / created: 2009-11-25
id: #364 / version id: #364
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Tuomo Kuosa
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Last changed by: Tuomo Kuosa
WI-WE status:
unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

IDEAS: Physical Sciences & Engineering

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Earth system science

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
VOLDIES (228064), DEMONS (202844)

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Break through in natural systems prediction methods

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
We may finally predict volcanic erutions, tsunamis etc. VOLDIES (Project Reference: 228064) project will create a global database on volcanic eruptions, their hazards and key risk factors (such as population density), which will be analysed to provide robust data for hazard and risk assessment at global, regional and local scales. New methods of probabilistic risk assessment will be developed, which combine hard and soft data, take account of uncertainties and integrate information on vulnerability and hazard. The research will include a study of risk perception as a key factor in vulnerability by comparing communities in different volcanic settings and across cultures.

Keywords

prediction, natural systems, natural hazards, risk assessment, vulnerability detection