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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Hybrid organic nano creature created

version: 2 / updated: 2010-11-15
id: #1133 / version id: #728
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Anthony Walker
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Anthony Walker
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished archived

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 4 - Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials & new production technologies

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Nanosciences and converging sciences

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
NANODNASEQUENCING

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Hybrid organic nano creature created

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Bionic person created and doesn't co-operate as expected - resulting in intelligent nano race becoming superior to humans

Keywords

hybrid creature, artificial inteligence, superior race,

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

Bionic person created and doesn't co-operate as expected - resulting in intelligent nano race becoming superior to humans

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2050+

Features of life if the wild card manifests

Feature 1: business models and industrial environment
Superior beings (e.g. more intelligent, stronger) would possibly be the more desirable employees, resulting in employment for humans
Feature 2: education and research environment
N/A
Feature 3: consumers, markets and lifestyles
New beings may desire/require different things than humans.
Feature 5: politics and global affairs
Potential war - new beings not wanting to live alongside humans
Feature 7: security and defence
Potentail war / new race is a threat - need for increased security and defence

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A contemporary equivalent of past Wild Cards
(e.g. earthquake, tsunami or, similar to the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the USA breaks up into independent countries sometime between 2025-2050, for example) 		new creatures become the dominant race, same as homo sapiens becoming the dominant species at the expense of neanderthal man

Type of systems affected

Both

Classification

Undesirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world This wild card would have a world-wide impact

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

Very uncertain

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Collapse of a system

Comments

Collapse of the world order as it is now.

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Technological/Scientific Technologies leading to the development of new hybrid creature

Potential impacts (risks & opportunities)

Timeframe options
Risks Opportunities
medium term
(5 to 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		Humans could be disadvantaged in terms of securing jobs
long term
(more than 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		Humans could no longer be the dominant species on the planet

Potential stakeholders' actions

before
it occurs 		after
it occurs
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) Ban research into developing hybrid creatures
Academic/Research sector Do not pursue research into this area

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Coexistence and conflicts New surperior race may result in war
Social cohesion and diversity New superior race would have dramatic effect on all society
Economic prosperity/dynamics New superior race may result in increased unemployment in humans

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Nanosciences, nanotech, materials & new prod. tech.
Security

Relevance for future R&D and STI policies

Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
The wild car is relevent in deciding guidelines regarding future research