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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Hydrogen-fuelled car technology brought to mass production

version: 1 / created: 2009-10-25
id: #210 / version id: #210
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Yanuar Nugroho
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Yanuar Nugroho
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 6 - Environment (including Climate Change)

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Pressures on environment and climate

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
MEGAPOLI (212520)

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Hydrogen-fuelled car technology brought to mass production

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
The interactions among megacities, air quality and climate have long been a concern. One major problem is the air pollution caused by vehicles. The development of hydrogen-fuelled vehicles on the other hand had always been always seen to be unviable due to its cost, efficiency and greenhouse emission. But a major car manufacturer finally managed to develop hydrogen fuel-cells which have been proved as a better long term technology than biofuels or electric cars. Better still, its also incorporated another technology so that the engine's residue, which is water, can be directly drinkable. What will make this Wild Card interesting? It would be unpredictable Other info: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_vehicle http://cordis.europa.eu/fetch?CALLER=FP7_PROJ_EN&ACTION=D&DOC=58&CAT=PROJ&QUERY=01215dc39866:add3:0fa89ccf&RCN=88856

Keywords

hydrogen engines, pollution, megacities, air pollution, vehicles

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2025

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Desirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

economic filters (business/market interests)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Collapse of a system
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)

Comments

economic filters (business/market interests) + scientific filters (knowledge/technology access): * campaign by big biofuel companies * (scientific) skepticism towards hydrogen car technology Probably pervasive (contagious or transmittable): world wide adoption of the technology Transformation of the system (e.g. new applications) + Collapse of a large system: transformation of transport system which puts fossil-fuel based transport into halt and create a new hydrogen-based economy

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Technological/Scientific transport technology
Environmental greenhouse gas emission

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Health reduced pollution, GHG
Energy alternative energy source
Environment (including Climate Change) reduced pollution, GHG
Transport (including aeronautics) breakthrough in land transport