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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Learning by computers severely affects communities ability to engage and communicate effectively

version: 2 / updated: 2010-11-09
id: #1102 / version id: #1030
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Anthony Walker
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Anthony Walker
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished archived

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

CAPACITIES: Science and society

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Science and society communicate

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
YOSCIWEB

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Learning by computers severely affects communities ability to engage and communicate effectively

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Learning by computers severely affects the ability of people to engage properly and a generation of people is created that are unable to communicate effectively.

Keywords

Learning, e-learning, computers, communication, society

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

Learning by computers severely affects the ability of people to engage properly and a generation of people is created that are unable to communicate effectively.

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2050+

Type of event

Unplanned consequence of events/trends/situations (e.g. financial crisis, accidental breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
An extreme extension of a trend/development/situation
(e.g. Increased global warming leads to a total ban on fossil fuels)

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Undesirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Early indicators

(including weak signals)

rise in social networking site use on line shopping/banking/automated enquiries

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

economic filters (business/market interests)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Collapse of a system

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Social communications heavily dependant on mobile technologies
Economic cost effectiveness of e commerce against traditional person centric service delivery

Potential impacts (risks & opportunities)

Timeframe options
Risks Opportunities
immediate
(within 1 year after the Wild Card manifests) 		Computers give a false sense of community
medium term
(5 to 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		If everything is automated by computers, where will people work
long term
(more than 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		computer dependence reduces not just communication skills but thinking skills

Potential stakeholders' actions

before
it occurs 		after
it occurs
Academic/Research sector ensure that teaching methods do not reward success of 'google' homework training in communication skills is taught alongside other disciplines

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Ageing and other demographic tensions common use of IT could alienate sections of society
Crime and terrorism identity theft, online banking risk of computer hacking and fraud
Social exclusion & poverty
Work-Life balance and mental health automated services reduces job availabilities

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
ICT - Information & communication technologies
Social Sciences and Humanities

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Strengthening research institutions and universities