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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » Misuse of European “disaster prevention” research leads to socio-economic disaster

version: 1 / created: 2009-11-15
id: #249 / version id: #249
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Rafael Popper
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Rafael Popper
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished archived

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 6 - Environment (including Climate Change)

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Natural hazards

Optional reference/s to FP7 project/s

Use the following format: Project Acronym (Project Reference No.). Use commas if more than one project is associated to this Wild Card, for example: ALFA-BIRD (213266), SAFAR (213374), LAPCAT-II (211485)
MICORE (202798)

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Misuse of European “disaster prevention” research leads to socio-economic disaster

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
By providing public access to key information about the intensity and impacts of possible extreme storm events, a European early warning study on coastal risks (unintentionally) leads to investment and property crises in selected case study areas in 9 countries: 1) Lido di Dante-Lido di Classe, Ravenna (Italy) 2) Ria Formosa Barrier-Island System, Praia de Faro (Portugal) 3) La Victoria Camposoto (Spain) 4) Lido of Sete to Marseillan Beach (France) 5) Eastern Irish See (United Kingdom) 6) Egmond Beach (The Netherlands) 7) Mariakerke Beach (Belgium) 8) Dziwnow Spit (Poland) 9) Kamchia-Shkorpilovtsi Beach (Bulgaria)

Keywords

coastal risk, storm, early warning, disaster, misuse, research, crisis

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2015

Type of event

Unplanned consequence of events/trends/situations (e.g. financial crisis, accidental breakthrough)

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Undesirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 1: important for a particular country Italy, Portugal, Spain, France, United Kingdom, The Netherlands, Belgium, Poland, Bulgaria
Level 3: important for the European Union

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
economic filters (business/market interests)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably enclosed way (e.g. geographically, sectorally)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Collapse of a system

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Urban and rural dynamics
Sustainability and climate change Need for procedures on how to deal with the risks of producing information about risks

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Environment (including Climate Change)
Regional development Particularly in coastal areas

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer