quick scan
scan for   wiwe wi we advanced
WI-WE Progress
Progress: 82.50%   WWI-WE Version: 4
0 mandatory questions pending
26 questions total
21 questions answered
21 questions completed
5 questions pending
Popular WI-WE Tags
Analysis Back

Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: FP7 » National energy grid disappears

version: 4 / updated: 2011-02-08
id: #1632 / version id: #597
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Tuomo Kuosa
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Maurizio Sajeva
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

Theme 5 - Energy

Sub-theme/area of inspiration

Knowledge for energy policy-making

Headline

(max. 9 words)

National energy grid disappears

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
Due to new domestic heating and electricity production innovation, households become self-sufficient in energy. Finally, there is no need anymore for national energy grid.

Keywords

domestic, households, self-sufficient in energy, national energy grid, energy,

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

Due to new domestic heating and electricity production innovation, households become self-sufficient in energy. Finally, there is no need anymore for national energy grid.

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2050+

Features of life if the wild card manifests

Feature 1: business models and industrial environment
end of energy industry. strating new industry for provision of energy profuction technologies for households
Feature 2: education and research environment
enhanced green education and environmental research
Feature 3: consumers, markets and lifestyles
Due to new domestic heating and electricity production innovation, households become self-sufficient in energy. Finally, there is no need anymore for national energy grid.
Feature 4: technology and infrastructure
desappearence of energy infrastructures, shift to alternative technologies
Feature 5: politics and global affairs
change of political equilibriums
Feature 6: health and quality of life
enhanced helath, decrease of cancer due to ledd electromagnetism.
Feature 7: security and defence
enchanced security, reduced vulnerabilities

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A new development/situation
(e.g. a Romani state is established in central Europe; A message from an alien civilisation existing on a distant planet is received and understood, etc.

Historical parallels

no same experience

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Desirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

economic filters (business/market interests)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
political filters (party or ideological interests)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably enclosed way (e.g. geographically, sectorally)

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Technological/Scientific techonogical breakthroughts

Potential stakeholders' actions

before
it occurs 		after
it occurs
Business actors (incl. SMEs) change of business
General public change of habits

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Energy security/dynamics
Innovation dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk
Sustainability and climate change

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Energy
Environment (including Climate Change) reduction of impact on environment
Research infrastructures

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.