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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: other » Personalized avatars to your work place and to your home

version: 1 / created: 2011-02-01
id: #1537 / version id: #1537
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Jari Kaivo-oja
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Jari Kaivo-oja
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

Other, please specify:   Scientific American

The source of the Wild Card is

Scientific American. December 2010. 10 World Changing Ideas.

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Personalized avatars to your work place and to your home

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
The Game of Life is being a part of normal human life. In the future bringing joysticks and scoreboards into our daily routine may be the key to making us better people. Ubiquitous revolution will bring personalized avatars to your work place and to your home. We can have assistants who do what we want them to do. The costs of assistants are lower than current workers.

Keywords

Avatar, assistant, ubiquitous revolution, personalization, routine work, cost structures

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

In the future people can have personal avatars who help them to better people, for example at home management and at work place. Avatars can help us to behave in a more sustainable way. Avatars can be programmed to lead us such a lifestyle we prefer.

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2015

Features of life if the wild card manifests

Feature 1: business models and industrial environment
Productivity increase of workers can be expected when people get more help to perform many busy tasks.
Feature 3: consumers, markets and lifestyles
New issue emerges: Lifestyle programming.
Feature 4: technology and infrastructure
Joysticks and scoreboards are available everywhery.
Feature 6: health and quality of life
Avatars can also increase discipline and promote healthy lifestyles.
Feature 7: security and defence
Avatars can protect people too. Security avatars emerges as a new promising business field.

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
An extreme extension of a trend/development/situation
(e.g. Increased global warming leads to a total ban on fossil fuels) 		This wild card is connected to ubiquitous revolution.

Historical parallels

New technology based slave society.

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Mixed

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Early indicators

(including weak signals)

Avatar products are already available. Movie "Avatar"

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

political filters (party or ideological interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Emergence of a new system (e.g. new technologies, new paradigms)

Comments

In the future key capability is ability to program your personal avatar/s.

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Social Labour costs
Technological/Scientific Ubiquitous technology development
Economic Decreasing costs

Potential impacts (risks & opportunities)

Timeframe options
Risks Opportunities
immediate
(within 1 year after the Wild Card manifests) 		Technical risk like reliability risks
short term
(1 to 5 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		Impacts on service economy jobs creation
medium term
(5 to 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		Impacts on service economy jobs creation
long term
(more than 10 years after the Wild Card manifests) 		Impacts on service economy jobs creation

Potential stakeholders' actions

before
it occurs 		after
it occurs
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels) ILO needs to make a special study about "Avatar Labour Force" New educational policy challenge New educational policy challenge
Academic/Research sector Deeper R&D analyses are needed
Non-for-profit organisations (e.g. NGOs, political parties, social movements, voluntary associations) New agenda for labour movement anf organizations

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Ageing and other demographic tensions Avatars can help youngsters and old people
Social cohesion and diversity Radical innovation to increase social cohesion
Work-Life balance and mental health A new tool to balance Work-Life balance
Economic prosperity/dynamics Avatars can help in prodictivity increasing actions
Techno-security, hazard & risk Reliability risks

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
ICT - Information & communication technologies Key element of ubiquitous revolution
Social Sciences and Humanities A new social innovation field
Security Security avatars

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Addressing cohesion through a localised articulation between supply and demand
(e.g. making research institutions more engaged with their own context and local users; reinforcing knowledge flows into and out of regions; etc.
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.

Relevance for future R&D and STI policies

Note: RTD = research and technology development; STI = science, technology and innovation
Very relevant because this issue have high potential for productivity increases in European companies and public sector organizations