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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: other EU » Solar panels becomes the global primary source of energy by 2030

version: 1 / created: 2009-11-25
id: #370 / version id: #370
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Tuomo Kuosa
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Last changed by: Tuomo Kuosa
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished archived

Source of inspiration

Other European Union institutions (e.g. Parliament, Council, etc.)

The source of the Wild Card is

Project Acronym: ROBUST DSC, Project Reference: 212792

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Solar panels becomes the global primary source of energy by 2030

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
The problem of solar cells have been their relativelly short lifetime, payback time and costs of establishing a system. The FP 7 project ROBUST DSC is studying and developing Dye Sensitized Solar Cells (DSC) with long lifetime and increased module efficiencies (7% target). In parallel with this objective, more fundamental research, employing new materials and device configurations, will target increasing the efficiency of labscale DSC to 14%. Progress on labscale devices will be fed directly into module development. The approach of the FP 7 project is based on the use of innovative low-cost materials, scalable manufacturing techniques, predictive device models and in-and outdoor lifetime testing. The project researchers anticipates that this project will result in the demonstration of a new scalable, low cost, photovoltaic technology. If we add to this the estimation that a relativelly small area of Sahara covered with new generation solar panels could produce all electricity that is needed in Europe, we can extrapolate the idea to the following wild card: Solar panels becomes the global primary source of energy by 2030.

Keywords

energy, Dye Sensitized Solar Cells (DSC), solar cell, efficiency, electricity

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

Solar panels becomes the global primary source of energy by 2030 due to break throughs in Dye Sensitized Solar Cells and in new political and economical energy production, ownership and supply treaties between EU and North-Africa.

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
An extreme extension of a trend/development/situation
(e.g. Increased global warming leads to a total ban on fossil fuels)

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Desirable

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

economic filters (business/market interests)
scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)
political filters (party or ideological interests)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Technological/Scientific Solar cells development
Political energy needs