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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: interviews » The collapse of a major nation in a geopolitical area that is already under great pressure

version: 4 / updated: 2011-11-18
id: #1883 / version id: #1883
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ivan Montenegro Perini
List of all contributors by versions (mouse over)
Last changed by: Ivan Montenegro Perini
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished archived

Source of inspiration

Interviews

The source of the Wild Card is

Joe RAVETZ, University of Manchester, Interviewed by MIoIR

Headline

(max. 9 words)

The collapse of a major nation in a geopolitical area that is already under great pressure

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
The internet is the nervous system of the global economy, so if it goes down we have a really big problem.

Keywords

internet, collapse, economy problems, social conflicts

Mini-description

(max. 250 characters)

The internet is the nervous system of the global economy, so if it goes down we have a really big problem.

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2015

Type of event

Unplanned consequence of events/trends/situations (e.g. financial crisis, accidental breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A new development/situation
(e.g. a Romani state is established in central Europe; A message from an alien civilisation existing on a distant planet is received and understood, etc.

Type of systems affected

Human-built Systems - E.g. organisations, processes, technologies, etc.

Classification

Mixed

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
institutional filters (rules, laws, regulations)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

Very uncertain

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Collapse of a system

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Behavioural change
Coexistence and conflicts
Crime and terrorism
Education dynamics
Ethics and abuse of S&T
Governance and trust in democracy
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Globalization vs. localization
Innovation dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
ICT - Information & communication technologies
Social Sciences and Humanities
Security
International S&T Cooperation

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Improving researchers mobility and career development by, for example, realising a single labour market for researchers.
Strengthening research institutions and universities
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.