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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: other » Tropical UK

version: 1 / created: 2010-02-13
id: #759 / version id: #759
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Rafael Popper
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Last changed by: Rafael Popper
WI-WE status:
submitted unpublished

Source of inspiration

Other, please specify:   YouTube

Headline

(max. 9 words)

Tropical UK

Description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
As a result of continuous global warming, the UK becomes one of the preferred tourist destinations as water temperatures raise to 25 degrees and the climate becomes as warm as in the Caribbean.

Keywords

climate change, global warming, tropical, UK, tourism

Likelihood

Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:
now-2050

Type of event

Unplanned consequence of events/trends/situations (e.g. financial crisis, accidental breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
An extreme extension of a trend/development/situation
(e.g. Increased global warming leads to a total ban on fossil fuels) 		climate change

Type of systems affected

Both

Classification

Mixed

Importance

please specify:
please select
Level 3: important for the European Union UK

Early indicators

(including weak signals)

raise in temperature in the last decades

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

scientific filters (knowledge/technology access)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

In a probably pervasive way (contagious or transmittable)

Aftermath phase

Important implications
Transformation of a system (e.g. new applications, change in stakeholders relations/influence)

Key drivers or triggers

Provide up to 2 possible drivers or triggers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
please describe
Driver / Trigger 1 		please describe
Driver / Trigger 2
Economic capitalism globalisation
Environmental global warming
Values/Ethical/Cultural consumption society

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Ageing and other demographic tensions
Behavioural change
Diseases, health and well-being
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Urban and rural dynamics
Sustainability and climate change
Water security/vulnerability

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Health
Energy
Environment (including Climate Change)
Social Sciences and Humanities
Regional development