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Mapping Weak Signals
Inspired by:
workshops/meetings
» No strict global rules on nuclear security
version
:
1
/ created:
2010-06-24
id: #833 / version id: #833
mode:
VIEW
Originally submitted by:
Ondrej Valenta
List of all contributors by versions (
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Last changed by:
Ondrej Valenta
WI-WE status:
submitted
unpublished
Source of inspiration
Workshops/Meetings
iKnow workshop country name
Czech Republic
Workshop date
March 2010
Signal's headline
(max. 9 words)
No strict global rules on nuclear security
Signal's description
(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Nowadays, no strict global rules on nuclear security are being defined and implemented. With a anticipated spread of production of nuclear energy also to third world countries, the threat of a consequent nuclear disaster is higher as these countries' nuclear security standards may be lower and not fully implemented.
Keywords
nuclear security, nuclear energy, third world countries, regulations, threat
Mini-description
(max. 250 characters)
Nowadays, no strict global rules on nuclear security are being defined and implemented. This might cause a nuclear accident or disaster especially in the third world countries.
Signal's potential evolution
It could lead to...
issue
type of issue/development
potential impact on society
timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1
higher threat of a nuclear accident or disaster in third world countries
discontinuation
very harmful
now-2050+
Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.
Global spread of production of energy from nuclear sources.
Importance
please specify
please select
Level 4: important for the
whole world
Filters preventing the signal's monitoring
information/communicational filters
(media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
cultural/religious
filters (values, traditions, faith, spiritual beliefs)
institutional
filters (rules, laws, regulations)
economic
filters (business/market interests)
Key driving forces of this signal
Please use these boxes to provide up to 2 drivers of HIGH importance. Click on HELP to see examples:
Driver 1
Driver 2
Economic
higher energy demands in developing countries
Potential stakeholders' actions
short-term actions
(now-2015)
longer-term
(after 2015)
Policy actors (at the international, European and national levels)
Adopt international nuclear security standards and assure their implementation
Signal's relevance for European Grand Challenges
where?
please justify:
particularly relevant
Europe
world
Energy security/dynamics
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Innovation dynamics
Techno-security, hazard & risk
Signal's relevance for thematic research areas
please justify:
particularly relevant
Energy
Environment (including Climate Change)
Security
Nuclear research
Research infrastructures
Pan-European strategies influencing the signal
please justify:
particularly relevant
Developing and funding world-class research infrastructures
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Research-friendly strategies
potentially improving understanding of the signal
For further information about 'research-friendly strategies'
click here
please justify:
particularly relevant
Overcoming sub-criticality and systemic failures
To be subcritical means that the effort in a particular field or subfield lacks resources, equipment or a sufficient number of researchers to achieve a desired goal
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.
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